are arguing intensely in German: The translation stream in his glasses tells him theyâre arguing over whether the Turing Test is a Jim Crow law that violates European corpus juris standards on human rights. The beer arrives, and Bob slides the wrong one across to Manfred. âHere, try this. Youâll like it.â
âOkay.â Itâs some kind of smoked doppelbock, chock-full of yummy superoxides: Just inhaling over it makes Manfred feel like thereâs a fire alarm in his nose, screaming, Danger, Will Robinson! Cancer! Cancer! âYeah, right. Did I say I nearly got mugged on my way here?â
âMugged? Hey, thatâs heavy. I thought the police hereabouts had stoppedâdid they sell you anything?â
âNo, but they werenât your usual marketing type. You know anyone who can use a Warpac surplus espionage bot? Recent model, one careful owner, slightly paranoid but basically soundâI mean, claims to be a general-purpose AI?â
âNo. Oh boy! The NSA wouldnât like that.â
âWhat I thought. Poor thingâs probably unemployable, anyway.â
âThe space biz.â
âAh, yeah. The space biz. Depressing, isnât it? Hasnât been the same since Rotary Rocket went bust for the second time. And NASA, mustnât forget NASA.â
âTo NASA.â Annette grins broadly for her own reasons, raises a glass in toast. Ivan the extreme concrete geek has an arm round hershoulders, and she leans against him; he raises his glass, too. âLots more launchpads to rubberize!â
âTo NASA,â Bob echoes. They drink. âHey, Manfred. To NASA?â
âNASA are idiots. They want to send canned primates to Mars!â Manfred swallows a mouthful of beer, aggressively plonks his glass on the table. âMars is just dumb mass at the bottom of a gravity well; there isnât even a biosphere there. They should be working on uploading and solving the nanoassembly conformational problem instead. Then we could turn all the available dumb matter into computronium and use it for processing our thoughts. Long-term, itâs the only way to go. The solar system is a dead loss right nowâdumb all over! Just measure the MIPS per milligram. If it isnât thinking, it isnât working. We need to start with the low-mass bodies, reconfigure them for our own use. Dismantle the moon! Dismantle Mars! Build masses of free-flying nanocomputing processor nodes exchanging data via laser link, each layer running off the waste heat of the next one in. Matrioshka brains, Russian doll Dyson spheres the size of solar systems. Teach dumb matter to do the Turing boogie!â
Annette is watching him with interest, but Bob looks wary. âSounds kind of long-term to me. Just how far ahead do you think?â
âVery long-termâat least twenty, thirty years. And you can forget governments for this market, Bob; if they canât tax it, they wonât understand it. But see, thereâs an angle on the self-replicating robotics market coming up thatâs going to set the cheap launch market doubling every fifteen months for the foreseeable future, starting in, oh, about two years. Itâs your leg up, and my keystone for the Dyson sphere project. It works like thisââ
Itâs night in Amsterdam, morning in Silicon Valley. Today, fifty thousand human babies are being born around the world. Meanwhile automated factories in Indonesia and Mexico have produced another quarter of a million motherboards with processors rated at more than ten petaflopsâabout an order of magnitude below the lower bound on the computational capacity of a human brain. Another fourteen months and the larger part of the cumulative conscious processing power of the human species will be arriving in silicon. And the first meat the new AIs get to know will be the uploaded lobsters.
Manfred stumbles back to his hotel, bone-weary and jet-lagged; his