listings of BOC, CCB, and ICBC marked the peak of financial reform, and it seemed for a brief moment that China’s banks were on their way to becoming true banking powerhouses that, over time, would compete with the HSBCs and Citibanks of the world.
China at last acceded to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in late 2001 after 15 years of difficult negotiations. Zhu saw membership of the WTO as the guarantee of an unalterable international orientation for a China that in the past had too frequently been given to cycles of isolationism. He believed that the WTO would provide the transformational engine for economic and, to a certain extent, political modernization regardless of who controlled the government. His enthusiasm for engagement with the world paid off as trade with China turned white hot in the years that followed (see Figure 1.2 ).
FIGURE 1.2 Trends in imports, exports and total trade, 1999–2007
Source: China Statistical Yearbook 2008
It was not just trade; foreign direct investment also poured in, jumping to unheard-of levels of US$60 billion a year and peaking at over US$92 billion in 2008 as the world’s corporations committed their manufacturing operations to the Chinese market (see Figure 1.3 ). Chairmen in boardrooms everywhere believed with Zhu Rongji that China was on a path of economic liberalization that was irreversible.
FIGURE 1.3 Committed foreign direct investment, 1979–2008
Source: China Statistical Yearbook 2009
The commitment of these foreign businessmen was not simply a function of belief. In the early years of the twenty-first century, China’s market opened up as it never had before. At the start of economic liberalization in the 1980s, foreign investors had been forced to contend with the practical consequences of the famous “Bird Cage” theory. Trapped in designated economic zones along the eastern seaboard, just as they had been in the Treaty Ports of the Qing Dynasty a hundred years earlier, foreign companies were forced into inefficient joint ventures with unwanted Chinese partners. Then every local government wanted its own zone and its own foreign birds, so that during the 1990s, economic zones proliferated across the country and were eventually no longer “special.” Despite this, even as late as 2000, the joint-venture format accounted for over 50 percent of all foreign-invested corporate structures. After China’s accession to the WTO, this changed rapidly. It seemed that China was open for business after all: by 2008, nearly 80 percent of all foreign investment assumed a wholly-owned enterprise structure (see Table 1.1 ). At long last, the Treaty Port system seemed a thing of the past, as foreign companies had the choice of where and how to invest.
TABLE 1.1 FDI by investment-vehicle structure, 2000–2008
Source: US-China Business Council; as a percent of total utilized FDI
Over the past few years, they have undeniably committed their technologies and management techniques and learned how to work with China’s talented workers to build a world-beating job-creation and export machine. But they have done this in only two areas of China: Guangdong and the Yangzi River Delta comprising Shanghai and southern Jiangsu Province (see Figure 1.4 ). The economies of these two regions are dominated by foreign-invested and private ( waizi and minying ) companies; there is virtually no state sector remaining. These areas consistently attract 70 percent of total foreign direct investment and contribute over 70 percent of China’s exports. They are the machine that has created the huge foreign-exchange reserves for Beijing and they have changed the face of these two regions. It is highly ironic that the old Treaty Ports, which once symbolized its weakness and subservience to foreign colonizers, are now the source of China’s rise as a global manufacturing and trading power, becoming in the process the most vibrant and exciting parts of the country and, indeed, of all